Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 13.714993 15.686863 17.787725 20.186616 22.843765 25.690632 28.965084
2025-11-09 10.628962 13.229928 16.188632 19.780646 23.999511 28.772820 34.555972
2025-11-16 8.724213 11.602122 15.045551 19.423532 24.792005 31.108956 39.048127
2025-11-23 7.241116 10.212835 13.929728 18.846851 25.099994 32.701501 42.545962
2025-11-30 6.366772 9.452636 13.463020 18.950427 26.144488 35.127795 47.049383
2025-12-07 5.645622 8.793428 13.031791 19.012089 27.069705 37.374019 51.345173
2025-12-14 5.090425 8.290409 12.742109 19.201502 28.121180 39.772194 55.870580
2025-12-21 4.568817 7.772017 12.371258 19.225296 28.912122 41.818323 59.966115
2025-12-28 4.252726 7.521511 12.348309 19.711755 30.330096 44.720352 65.259575
2026-01-04 3.932651 7.228086 12.229736 20.034971 31.510012 47.315568 70.196065
2026-01-11 3.587011 6.855997 11.957048 20.099860 32.302400 49.379872 74.445045
2026-01-18 3.158650 6.301227 11.354727 19.620022 32.260271 50.249645 77.037203
2026-01-25 2.799063 5.829589 10.851284 19.263675 32.386559 51.368777 80.030090
2026-02-01 2.473155 5.381065 10.347248 18.867297 32.420396 52.338850 82.822304
2026-02-08 2.194862 4.987069 9.899130 18.523622 32.503180 53.362320 85.696640
2026-02-15 1.914435 4.555144 9.348128 17.968937 32.216294 53.807850 87.716553
2026-02-22 1.763993 4.360955 9.197296 18.068554 32.961227 55.813539 92.076992
2026-03-01 1.622256 4.167853 9.031624 18.127860 33.634380 57.718968 96.324683
2026-03-08 1.509783 4.023048 8.942273 18.310045 34.507920 59.948680 101.106142
2026-03-15 1.387642 3.842675 8.770739 18.332932 35.110558 61.764713 105.292506
2026-03-22 1.327238 3.793347 8.846459 18.800891 36.472916 64.805257 111.420833
2026-03-29 1.253667 3.705176 8.838345 19.111860 37.574162 67.454138 116.996359
2026-04-05 1.160234 3.558691 8.701757 19.174294 38.244566 69.424067 121.550535